【Mr Green Deutschland】MLB Over/Under Best Bet: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels, April 4

Interesting defeat last night that saw the Cincinnati Reds lose by a score of 1-0 for the third consecutive day. This further confirms it’s only best to stick to over/unders.

And that’s what we’ll be back on tonight when the Los Angeles Angels become the last team in baseball to host their home opener. They’ll get the Cleveland Guardians first out of the chute at the Big A.

A starting pitching matchup of 2025 breakout candidates will begin the proceedings. If you checked out our guide of season futures prop bets, you know I’m personally very high (and invested) on Gavin Williams now that he’s fully healthy.

The former first-round draft pick endured elbow issues last spring training that ultimately knocked him out the first half of last year. Even after returning, Williams just didn’t look quite right and was saddled with a 3-10 record and 4.86 ERA by the time the campaign concluded.

Williams is back to form now, however — and that should lead people to see what he can do as he evolves into a frontline starter.

The first assignment of the new season for the 25-year-old was certainly an encouraging one, as he limited the division rival Royals to just two runs on four hits and a walk across five solid innings. Williams struck out only two, but his K rate will unquestionably inflate as the weeks go by. He’s strung together more than a strikeout per inning through the first two years of his career.

Furthermore, Williams showed off his penchant for punchouts during spring training, when he registered an eye-opening 13.5 K/9 in 17 1/3 innings. Perhaps he’s in a good spot to continue such mastery, given that none of the Halos regulars have ever logged a regular-season at-bat against Williams. He saw them during the spring, but Logan O’Hoppe and Jo Adell were the only players of note to step in the box.